Dallas Cowboys vs Philadelphia Eagles NFL match analysis, predictions and odds
The Dallas Cowboys (10-4) play the Philadelphia Eagles (13-1) at AT&T Stadium on 24th December at 16:25. The two sides face off this week in a divisional matchup that could decide the NFC East race. The Dallas Cowboys are in second place in the division, with a 10-4 record from 14 regular season matches. In first lies the Philadelphia Eagles, who are 13-1 from 14 contests. Prices with the oddsmakers lean towards a home win for the Dallas Cowboys at the AT&T Stadium on Saturday. However, on the back of some strong wins, the Philadelphia Eagles are a solid unit to handle currently, and the home side is undoubtedly warned.
Form Dallas Cowboys
The Jacksonville Jaguars proved too much to handle last time out in a 40-34 defeat for the Dallas Cowboys. That said, the hosts are on a bit of a hot streak in the NFC East. They’ve won nine of their past ten divisional matchups, leaving them hopeful for a swift return to winning ways in Week 16.
Playing at the AT&T Stadium brings out the best in the Dallas Cowboys. They have the third-best home offensive record, averaging 28.8 points per game with home-field advantage and 28.1 points for all 14 of their regular season games. Defensively, the hosts have the seventh-best unit of all 32 teams, allowing just 19.2 points on average and 17.9 points on their own ground.
The NFC East title may be a long shot with a record of 10-4, but the fifth-seeded Dallas Cowboys have still clinched a spot in the upcoming NFC playoffs going into the final weeks of the regular season.
Form Philadelphia Eagles
Form is strong for the Philadelphia Eagles, who beat Chicago Bears by a 20-25 scoreline last time out, thereby extending their winning streak to five matches. Their overall regular season record is now 13-1 and 7-0 on the road.
The Philadelphia Eagles rank up in second-place in the NFL’s offensive rankings, with 29.4 points per game this season and 28.7 points on the road. On the other side, the defense is longer the same unit that gave up 23.1 points on average last year, ranking sixth in the league today after keeping opposing offenses down to just 19.1 points per match.
Despite making the playoffs, the Philadelphia Eagles can’t rest on their laurels just yet. The next step for the NFC East leaders is to clinch the division title and hold on to first seed in the NFC Conference. This will hand them a bye week for the wild-card round of the playoffs.
H2H
The previous matchup between these two franchises ended in a 26-17 win for the Philadelphia Eagles at the Lincoln Financial Field in October 2022. The Dallas Cowboys came away with three wins from their past five matchups against the Philadelphia Eagles, leaving them with an overall record of 3-2.
The Dallas Cowboys tallied 26.3 points on average per game from their ten most recent head-to-head games against the Philadelphia Eagles. The latter managed an average of 18.3 points in comparison.
Standings
Betting
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Moneyline
Take the Dallas Cowboys to win (1.83) outright on the moneyline.
The Dallas Cowboys seem to relish going up against NFC East opposition, especially at the AT&T Stadium. The 7-1 hosts have won five of their last five home matchups against NFC East teams. Odds of -120 suggests they have a 55% chance of adding another victory to their haul in Week 16. On the other hand, a Philadelphia Eagles win is priced at +100, with the visitors 7-0 on the road and 13-1 overall for this season.
It’s a close call on the moneyline, with home-field advantage perhaps giving the Dallas Cowboys a slight edge. The hosts are favorites with odds of -120, while the Philadelphia Eagles come in as underdogs at +100.
Spread
Betting on the Dallas Cowboys -1.5 (1.91) is our favorite play for this matchup.
The Dallas Cowboys are favored by 1.5 point over the Philadelphia Eagles, according to oddsmakers. This suggests that the game will likely be close and could go either way. The last five rounds between the Dallas Cowboys and the Philadelphia Eagles have been rather one-sided, with an average winning margin of up to 17.6 points.
The Dallas Cowboys went 8-2 ATS in their last ten games against NFC East teams. The offense put up 33.3 points per game in that span, while the defense allowed an average of 17.9 points. In their previous ten games, the Dallas Cowboys went 5-5 ATS overall and 5-4 ATS in the last nine games at home.
On the other side of the field, the Philadelphia Eagles have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games on the road. The visitors are 3-6 ATS from their nine most recent road trips, as well as 5-5 ATS in their last ten games overall.
Total
Total over 51.5 (1.91) is your best bet for this game.
The last ten contests of this series failed to pass the 45-point mark, averaging 44.6 points in total. This suggests the total may end up anywhere between 40 and 45 points when the Dallas Cowboys play host to the Philadelphia Eagles.
The current total on the Week 16 betting line for this matchup is 51.5 points, which is under the 53.6 points average seen in the past five rounds the Dallas Cowboys and Philadelphia Eagles have played out, but not by much either.
The over has proved a profitable pick, paying out in all four of the Dallas Cowboys’ most recent games at AT&T Stadium. The Dallas Cowboys have seen four of the past five home games going over. In fact, when looking back on their last 10 matches (both at home and away), they are 6-4 in the over and under betting line.
In the Philadelphia Eagles’ past five NFC East matchups on the road, the score ended up 2-3 against the total and averaged 44.0 points. The total score went over in half the previous 10 road trips for the Philadelphia Eagles, who are 6-4 in the over-and-under market from their last 10 games overall.